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Internet is going to be swamped by growth in internet compatible devices, with the global internet data traffic growing by 400% by 2015 according to Cisco Systems through an industry leading report published on 1st June 2011.
Global Internet traffic would be 966 exabytes (an exabyte equalling a quintillion bytes or 1,024 petabytes) in 2015, and there will be 15 billion network-connected devices, which will bring the device: population ratio to a whooping 2:1, according to the 5th Visual Networking Index Forecast by Cisco at their annual event in Washington, D.C.
Suraj Shetty, Cisco’s VP – Global Service Provider Marketing suggested that each average U.S. resident would have seven networked devices by 2015, compared to 1 networked device per human being on earth. Mobile broadband traffic has been predicted to be 26times of the present volumes.
Global Internet traffic in 2010 was about 20.2 exabytes per month and will increase by 200 exabytes between 2014 and 2015.
The growth in traffic is being driven by tablets, smartphones and online video according to Shetty. An average of 1 million video minutes will cross the Internet every second during 2015, Cisco predicted in its new report, widely referenced in the past by U.S. policymakers.
About 6 percent of all Internet traffic will come from tablets in 2015, meaning that tablets will generate more traffic than all connected devices in 2006, Shetty predicted.
Cisco predicted that global broadband speeds would increase from about 7 Mbps to 28 Mbps, but Carlos Rodriguez, manager of regulatory affairs at Telefónica USA, said the speed increases will depend on several factors. Customers are demanding more bandwidth, but many telecom carriers’ revenues have been flat or declining, he said.
Blair Levin, a communications fellow at think tank the Aspen Institute, called Cisco’s predictions “scary.”
“We actually thought there would be a spectrum crunch before the tablet came out,” said Blair Levin (communications fellow at think tank – The Aspen Institute), who oversaw the U.S. Federal Communications Commission‘s national broadband plan, released in March 2010.
“How are people going to pay for it?”, asked Lewin. He also pointed out that slow economic growth would certainly have an impact on increasing the broadband speeds.
I can surely see where Cisco is going with their annual exercise patterns of predicting trends. They probably are saying (in latent meaning), “we are industry leaders” and “buy internet compatibility/ enhancing devices with Cisco brand”. Now I’ll let you run your fingers on the WWW to have more information on the same. Please subscribe and Like this post if you “like it”. Peace!
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